Nothern Africa And the Middle East: What's Next? by Stanley Lucas

Katia Jerome - November 23 2011, 11:54 PM

Post-Revolutions in Northern Africa and the Middle East: Fostering a Successful Democratic Transition by Stanley Lucas
March 31, 2011

Fostering democracy and economic development in countries that have been under a dictatorship for decades is a complex and challenging task that requires a clear vision and investment by the transition government and the support of the international community.

After the dictator has gone, citizens who rose up against oppression and corruption are confronted with two scenarios: a slow, tough road to democracy and economic development, or permanent instability marked by political infighting and power struggles.

The latter scenario can lead to an even worse situation where the victims of the regime morph into the new oppressors.

We often hear political commentators discuss the uncertainty and risk posed by unknown leadership assuming power post-dictatorships, and whether or not the alternative will be any better.

International technical assistance and a strong commitment by the interim government to giving political, economic and civil society leaders the tools and expertise to deal with the new challenges of building democratic institutions and breaking from old patterns and systems can help minimize the risk and shape a stable government.

For these transition societies, gaining access to the know-how, through the transfer of knowledge and the sharing of experiences will foster democratic institutions and sustainable stability.

The Success and Failure of Transitions around the World

Egypt, Tunisia, Algeria, Bahrain, Iran, Yemen, Syria, and Libya are experiencing today what countries in Latin American and the Caribbean -- and Eastern Europe and Russia -- experienced in the 1980s.

In Latin America, 18 dictatorships fell in large part as a result of Presidents Carter and Reagan

REPLY to this message

Return to Message List


Souffrant Marie Pierre says...

You are a pure CIA domestic and you will say anything to be elected as a U.S. puppet in Haiti. Too bad, you will never be elected as president in... more »

Katia Jerome says...

Souffrant Pierre alias hater linked to Francette Agnant and Harry Hyppolite is using fake names to assassinate the character of Haitians standing... more »

Jean Marc Petion says...

This is a very good analysis. I enjoyed it. Sir, how do you see the next six months in Haiti? Could you do the same analysis for our country? What's... more »

Saintilaire Mecene says...

Pa okipe kriminel lavalas sa yo ki genyen san nan men yo. Yo kraze peyi a epi jodia yap pran poz. Se yo nan ti dezod ki te vann konsyans yo bay CIA... more »

Monel says...

saintilaire Mecene,G.N.Bisman palan:an 2004 ou Te kite Aperd fe ou koupe pye bwa a pou yon sak diri ak $20 men ousi telman Te dormi gonfle ou Te... more »